“Don’t get cute.”
“All that matters is this week.”
“Start your studs.”
Tell all of that to an owner who lost last week because his opponent got at least 50 points from David Wilson and the Seahawks D/ST. That is the sickening part about fantasy football. You have no control over the outcome once the games begin.
The object of the game is no different in Week 15 than it is in Week 1: score as many fantasy points as possible. If you’ve gotten to the playoffs, it might not be the best idea in the world to go away from what was working all season.
On the other hand, things do change. Success in the first fourteen weeks doesn’t guarantee success in the fifteenth week. Even if you have the greatest fantasy football team ever assembled, you could lose. Accepting that fact up front will allow you to set your lineup without pulling your hair out.
There is also a nice flip-side to never being guaranteed a victory: it means that you’re also never guaranteed a loss. No matter how grim the situation looks, or how long the odds are, you still have a shot. Crazy stuff happens, you just have to hope that it happens in your favor.
Now it’s on to the business of trying to score as many points as possible this week.
- Have you been starting the same kicker every week? There are a few (Gostkowski, Graham, Tynes, Bryant) worth starting weekly. Other than that, you should be trying to maximize your kicker points this week. A few options:
We are officially through the looking glass. Your team has experienced nine weeks of fantasy football. Your win/loss record might not reflect the actual talent on your team, but that’s what sets fantasy football apart. You can’t just be good, you have to be lucky.
There are obvious exceptions, such as total points leagues. But in most head-to-head fantasy football leagues, your team fits neatly into three categories at this point:
Again, there are exceptions. If you are in a keeper/dynasty league, you can always build for next year. In redraft leagues, you don’t have such a luxury. You will never have this team again. If you’re out of it, be a good owner and try to play the spoiler role from here on out.
The above paragraph should cover teams that fall into Category 3. Sorry, but you aren’t winning a championship this year. There’s always next year.
On the other end of the spectrum, you have the Category 1 teams. If you’re team is currently 9-0, 8-1 or even 7-2, you fall into this category. So what should you do now?
You always try to win every week. The goal is to lock up the No. 1 playoff seed and to win the Total Points title. But you can (most likely) afford to take a loss or two on the way to the playoffs. Especially if taking a loss allows you to improve your chances of winning during the playoff weeks in your league.